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4 of 5 matches with xG: 10 goals from 9.0 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo 2–3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.08–1.42 | 29% · 27% · 45% | Win in line with xG for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 Istra 1961 | 1.03–0.39 | 51% · 35% · 14% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| HNK Rijeka 2–0 NK Varazdin | 1.43–0.48 | 61% · 27% · 12% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| NK Osijek 1–1 Dinamo Zagreb | 1.55–1.60 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.