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5 of 5 matches with xG: 20 goals from 15.4 xG (1.30 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin 2–2 Istra 1961 | 1.52–2.07 | 28% · 21% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Istra 1961 had 50% |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–0 Rudes | 1.67–0.63 | 63% · 24% · 14% | Win in line with xG for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| HNK Gorica 0–3 HNK Hajduk Split | 0.62–2.67 | 6% · 13% · 81% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| HNK Rijeka 3–0 NK Osijek | 2.18–0.90 | 67% · 19% · 14% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| Dinamo Zagreb 5–2 NK Slaven Belupo | 2.59–0.56 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.