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5 of 5 matches with xG: 17 goals from 13.8 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–2 HNK Rijeka | 1.39–2.14 | 25% · 21% · 55% | Draw against the xG: HNK Rijeka had 55% |
| Sibenik 1–3 NK Osijek | 1.04–2.86 | 11% · 14% · 75% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| Istra 1961 2–2 Dinamo Zagreb | 1.04–2.22 | 17% · 19% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Dinamo Zagreb had 64% |
| NK Slaven Belupo 0–2 HNK Hajduk Split | 0.77–0.68 | 34% · 37% · 29% | Close call, HNK Hajduk Split won |
| NK Varazdin 2–1 HNK Gorica | 0.87–0.77 | 35% · 35% · 30% | Win in line with xG for NK Varazdin |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.