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4 of 5 matches with xG: 7 goals from 6.6 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–0 HNK Gorica | 0.88–0.49 | 43% · 38% · 19% | Win in line with xG for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| NK Slaven Belupo 0–0 HNK Rijeka | 0.65–0.77 | 27% · 38% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| NK Varazdin 0–1 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.79–1.35 | 22% · 28% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Hajduk Split 4–0 Sibenik | 1.50–0.17 | 72% · 24% · 4% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.