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3 of 5 matches with xG: 9 goals from 7.7 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sibenik 0–0 Istra 1961 | 0.65–0.29 | 39% · 47% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dinamo Zagreb 5–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2.50–0.57 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Gorica 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.63–2.04 | 31% · 21% · 48% | Close call, HNK Gorica won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.