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5 of 5 matches with xG: 8 goals from 8.8 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica 2–1 Sibenik | 0.55–0.88 | 22% · 37% · 41% | Won against the xG: HNK Gorica |
| NK Slaven Belupo 0–1 Istra 1961 | 0.46–0.86 | 19% · 38% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Istra 1961 |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Osijek | 1.24–0.35 | 59% · 30% · 10% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–1 NK Varazdin | 0.36–2.54 | 4% · 12% · 85% | Win in line with xG for NK Varazdin |
| HNK Rijeka 1–1 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.82–0.69 | 36% · 36% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.