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5 of 5 matches with xG: 8 goals from 10.2 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin 2–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0.94–1.31 | 27% · 28% · 45% | Won against the xG: NK Varazdin |
| NK Osijek 2–0 HNK Hajduk Split | 1.29–1.04 | 42% · 28% · 30% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| Dinamo Zagreb 1–0 HNK Rijeka | 1.28–0.42 | 58% · 29% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| Istra 1961 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.72–0.48 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Istra 1961 had 68% |
| Sibenik 0–0 HNK Gorica | 0.99–0.75 | 40% · 33% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.