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3 of 5 matches with xG: 6 goals from 4.9 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin 1–1 Sibenik | 0.81–1.44 | 21% · 27% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Sibenik had 52% |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1–3 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.42–1.05 | 15% · 34% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–0 Istra 1961 | 0.36–0.79 | 16% · 41% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.