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HNL 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 1

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Matches

Matchday 1 in xG

5 of 5 matches with xG: 10 goals from 15.6 xG (0.64 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–0 Vukovar1.41–0.1172% · 25% · 3%Win in line with xG for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb1.07–2.9910% · 14% · 76%Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo3.41–0.4092% · 6% · 2%Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Istra 19611.89–0.6866% · 21% · 13%Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Gorica2.39–1.2762% · 19% · 19%Draw against the xG: NK Varazdin had 62%

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 2

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