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5 of 5 matches with xG: 13 goals from 16.5 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb 3–0 Vukovar | 3.70–0.28 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| Istra 1961 2–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.85–1.51 | 46% · 22% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| NK Osijek 0–0 HNK Rijeka | 1.63–0.20 | 74% · 22% · 4% | Draw against the xG: NK Osijek had 74% |
| NK Slaven Belupo 3–1 NK Varazdin | 2.02–0.98 | 61% · 21% · 18% | Win in line with xG for NK Slaven Belupo |
| HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 HNK Gorica | 3.07–1.27 | 73% · 14% · 13% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.