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5 of 5 matches with xG: 12 goals from 15.0 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Istra 1961 1–0 NK Varazdin | 0.48–1.32 | 13% · 29% · 58% | Won against the xG: Istra 1961 |
| Vukovar 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split | 1.11–2.52 | 15% · 17% · 68% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| NK Slaven Belupo 2–1 NK Osijek | 0.87–1.84 | 17% · 22% · 60% | Won against the xG: NK Slaven Belupo |
| HNK Gorica 1–3 HNK Rijeka | 1.53–2.29 | 25% · 20% · 55% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–1 Dinamo Zagreb | 1.34–1.72 | 30% · 24% · 46% | Won against the xG: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.