HNL 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 12

Matchday 12 in xG

1 of 5 matches with xG: 5 goals from 2.2 xG (2.27 goals per xG).

• Most xG: HNK Gorica 4–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (xG 1.07–1.13). 2.20 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: HNK Gorica 4–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (xG 1.07–1.13). An xG gap of 0.06.
• Most goals above xG: HNK Gorica, +2.93 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, -0.13 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 9 · Matchday 13