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5 of 5 matches with xG: 17 goals from 15.2 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo 4–1 Vukovar | 1.11–1.61 | 26% · 25% · 49% | Won against the xG: NK Slaven Belupo |
| Dinamo Zagreb 3–1 NK Varazdin | 2.13–0.19 | 83% · 14% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Rijeka 5–0 HNK Hajduk Split | 1.16–0.70 | 47% · 31% · 22% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| NK Osijek 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.05–3.42 | 8% · 11% · 82% | Draw against the xG: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb had 82% |
| HNK Gorica 1–0 Istra 1961 | 2.18–1.63 | 50% · 21% · 29% | Win in line with xG for HNK Gorica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.