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HNL 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 15

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Matches

Matchday 15 in xG

5 of 5 matches with xG: 12 goals from 12.4 xG (0.97 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Vukovar 2–2 NK Osijek0.93–2.2914% · 18% · 68%Draw against the xG: NK Osijek had 68%
HNK Hajduk Split 1–1 NK Varazdin2.00–0.2480% · 16% · 4%Draw against the xG: HNK Hajduk Split had 80%
Istra 1961 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo0.87–2.1114% · 20% · 66%Draw against the xG: NK Slaven Belupo had 66%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 HNK Rijeka1.31–1.2538% · 27% · 35%Draw in line with xG
HNK Gorica 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb0.13–1.294% · 28% · 68%Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 14 · Matchday 16

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