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5 of 5 matches with xG: 13 goals from 14.6 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–0 HNK Gorica | 2.39–3.37 | 27% · 16% · 58% | Won against the xG: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| Vukovar 3–2 Istra 1961 | 2.85–1.66 | 62% · 17% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Vukovar |
| HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.06–0.70 | 44% · 33% · 24% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| NK Varazdin 2–1 NK Osijek | 0.79–0.94 | 29% · 34% · 37% | Close call, NK Varazdin won |
| HNK Rijeka 0–0 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.08–0.76 | 4% · 46% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Dinamo Zagreb had 50% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.