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5 of 5 matches with xG: 10 goals from 13.3 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Istra 1961 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0.39–0.85 | 16% · 39% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| HNK Gorica 1–0 HNK Hajduk Split | 0.74–1.98 | 13% · 20% · 67% | Won against the xG: HNK Gorica |
| NK Slaven Belupo 0–2 NK Varazdin | 2.67–2.01 | 53% · 18% · 29% | Won against the xG: NK Varazdin |
| NK Osijek 1–0 HNK Rijeka | 0.43–0.68 | 20% · 43% · 36% | Won against the xG: NK Osijek |
| Dinamo Zagreb 3–1 Vukovar | 3.11–0.43 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.