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5 of 5 matches with xG: 15 goals from 11.4 xG (1.32 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vukovar 2–2 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.90–0.46 | 72% · 20% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Vukovar had 72% |
| Istra 1961 0–2 HNK Gorica | 0.48–1.77 | 9% · 22% · 69% | Win in line with xG for HNK Gorica |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 NK Osijek | 1.22–1.37 | 33% · 26% · 40% | Close call, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won |
| NK Varazdin 0–4 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.88–1.79 | 18% · 23% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Rijeka | 0.93–0.58 | 42% · 36% · 22% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.