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5 of 5 matches with xG: 13 goals from 13.7 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo 1–0 Istra 1961 | 1.78–1.13 | 53% · 23% · 24% | Win in line with xG for NK Slaven Belupo |
| NK Osijek 2–0 Vukovar | 2.36–0.27 | 84% · 13% · 3% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split | 0.54–1.70 | 11% · 23% · 66% | Draw against the xG: HNK Hajduk Split had 66% |
| HNK Rijeka 2–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.03–0.43 | 50% · 35% · 15% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 HNK Gorica | 2.05–2.37 | 34% · 19% · 46% | Close call, Dinamo Zagreb won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.