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5 of 5 matches with xG: 12 goals from 12.5 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Istra 1961 0–1 NK Osijek | 1.31–0.77 | 49% · 29% · 22% | Won against the xG: NK Osijek |
| HNK Gorica 2–2 NK Slaven Belupo | 2.13–0.73 | 70% · 19% · 12% | Draw against the xG: HNK Gorica had 70% |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 NK Varazdin | 1.61–0.20 | 74% · 22% · 4% | Draw against the xG: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb had 74% |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1–3 Dinamo Zagreb | 1.35–2.15 | 24% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| Vukovar 0–1 HNK Rijeka | 0.58–1.67 | 13% · 24% · 64% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.