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HNL 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 26

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Matches

Matchday 26 in xG

5 of 5 matches with xG: 13 goals from 18.2 xG (0.72 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
NK Varazdin 2–0 Vukovar1.91–0.5071% · 20% · 9%Win in line with xG for NK Varazdin
NK Osijek 0–0 HNK Gorica1.13–1.1236% · 29% · 35%Draw in line with xG
Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 NK Slaven Belupo3.65–0.2295% · 4% · 1%Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb4.24–1.8877% · 11% · 12%Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka 0–2 Istra 19612.66–0.8576% · 15% · 10%Won against the xG: Istra 1961

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 25 · Matchday 27

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