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HNL 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 27

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Matches

Matchday 27 in xG

5 of 5 matches with xG: 18 goals from 15.8 xG (1.14 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Istra 1961 2–1 NK Varazdin0.46–1.5111% · 25% · 63%Won against the xG: Istra 1961
Vukovar 0–6 HNK Hajduk Split0.55–4.911% · 3% · 96%Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–5 Dinamo Zagreb0.18–4.440% · 2% · 98%Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo 0–0 NK Osijek0.26–0.6613% · 47% · 40%Draw in line with xG
HNK Gorica 4–0 HNK Rijeka2.14–0.6771% · 18% · 10%Win in line with xG for HNK Gorica

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 26 · Matchday 28

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