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5 of 5 matches with xG: 17 goals from 10.3 xG (1.65 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Gorica | 0.74–0.52 | 37% · 40% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dinamo Zagreb 7–0 NK Osijek | 2.24–0.75 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| NK Slaven Belupo 0–2 HNK Rijeka | 0.73–2.25 | 11% · 18% · 72% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| Vukovar 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0.50–0.27 | 32% · 53% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| Istra 1961 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split | 0.24–2.04 | 3% · 16% · 81% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.