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5 of 5 matches with xG: 13 goals from 11.5 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–0 Istra 1961 | 1.13–0.78 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Win in line with xG for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| HNK Rijeka 0–2 NK Osijek | 0.93–0.34 | 49% · 38% · 13% | Won against the xG: NK Osijek |
| NK Varazdin 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.56–1.41 | 41% · 24% · 35% | Win in line with xG for NK Varazdin |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Gorica | 1.41–0.16 | 70% · 26% · 4% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| Vukovar 1–4 Dinamo Zagreb | 1.78–1.97 | 36% · 21% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.