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5 of 5 matches with xG: 8 goals from 10.6 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo 2–2 Vukovar | 1.36–1.26 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| NK Osijek 0–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.48–0.30 | 68% · 25% · 7% | Draw against the xG: NK Osijek had 68% |
| HNK Rijeka 0–0 HNK Hajduk Split | 1.39–0.84 | 50% · 27% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 NK Varazdin | 1.01–0.43 | 49% · 35% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Gorica 1–0 Istra 1961 | 1.61–0.95 | 53% · 25% · 22% | Win in line with xG for HNK Gorica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.