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5 of 5 matches with xG: 15 goals from 12.0 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.79–0.31 | 44% · 42% · 14% | Won against the xG: Dinamo Zagreb |
| Vukovar 1–0 NK Osijek | 0.48–1.06 | 17% · 34% · 50% | Won against the xG: Vukovar |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–3 HNK Rijeka | 0.46–2.06 | 7% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| HNK Hajduk Split 3–1 NK Varazdin | 1.73–1.98 | 34% · 21% · 44% | Close call, HNK Hajduk Split won |
| Istra 1961 3–1 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.24–1.92 | 25% · 22% · 53% | Won against the xG: Istra 1961 |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.