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5 of 5 matches with xG: 9 goals from 9.1 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Rijeka 3–0 Vukovar | 2.07–0.44 | 76% · 17% · 7% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 HNK Hajduk Split | 2.68–0.33 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| NK Varazdin 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0.75–0.28 | 44% · 44% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
| NK Osijek 0–1 Istra 1961 | 0.53–0.67 | 25% · 42% · 34% | Close call, Istra 1961 won |
| NK Slaven Belupo 1–0 HNK Gorica | 1.11–0.27 | 58% · 33% · 9% | Win in line with xG for NK Slaven Belupo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.