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5 of 5 matches with xG: 11 goals from 13.5 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vukovar 0–2 NK Varazdin | 0.70–1.74 | 15% · 23% · 62% | Win in line with xG for NK Varazdin |
| HNK Gorica 2–0 NK Osijek | 0.61–1.22 | 19% · 30% · 51% | Won against the xG: HNK Gorica |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split | 1.53–2.73 | 20% · 17% · 63% | Draw against the xG: HNK Hajduk Split had 63% |
| NK Slaven Belupo 1–4 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.66–2.52 | 8% · 15% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| Istra 1961 0–0 HNK Rijeka | 1.21–0.62 | 50% · 31% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Istra 1961 had 50% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.