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5 of 5 matches with xG: 18 goals from 15.1 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–1 Rudes | 0.79–1.13 | 26% · 31% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Rudes |
| HNK Gorica 3–5 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.19–3.85 | 7% · 9% · 84% | Win in line with xG for NK Slaven Belupo |
| Istra 1961 3–1 HNK Rijeka | 2.43–0.93 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Istra 1961 |
| NK Osijek 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split | 0.63–1.14 | 20% · 32% · 48% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| NK Varazdin 1–3 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.86–2.15 | 14% · 19% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.