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5 of 5 matches with xG: 11 goals from 11.3 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Istra 1961 2–2 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.84–2.06 | 14% · 20% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Dinamo Zagreb had 66% |
| NK Varazdin 2–0 Rudes | 1.93–0.36 | 76% · 18% · 6% | Win in line with xG for NK Varazdin |
| NK Osijek 3–0 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.43–0.88 | 50% · 27% · 23% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2.57–0.42 | 84% · 12% · 4% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| HNK Gorica 0–0 HNK Rijeka | 0.24–0.62 | 12% · 49% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.