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4 of 7 matches with xG: 12 goals from 12.5 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anorthosis 2–0 Apollon Limassol | 2.53–1.83 | 53% · 19% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Anorthosis |
| AEL 2–3 AEK Larnaca | 1.59–0.95 | 52% · 25% · 23% | Won against the xG: AEK Larnaca |
| Karmiotissa 3–1 Doxa | 3.80–0.59 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Karmiotissa |
| Apoel Nicosia 1–0 Aris | 0.48–0.75 | 21% · 41% · 38% | Won against the xG: Apoel Nicosia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.