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3 of 7 matches with xG: 14 goals from 9.1 xG (1.54 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia 29is Maiou 2–1 Apollon Limassol | 0.61–0.46 | 33% · 45% · 23% | Close call, Omonia 29is Maiou won |
| Anorthosis 2–2 AEK Larnaca | 1.63–2.89 | 20% · 17% · 64% | Draw against the xG: AEK Larnaca had 64% |
| Apoel Nicosia 7–0 Omonia Aradippou | 2.82–0.68 | 81% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Apoel Nicosia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.