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4 of 7 matches with xG: 12 goals from 10.1 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nea Salamis 2–2 Aris | 1.02–2.24 | 16% · 19% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Aris had 65% |
| Ethnikos Achna 0–1 Enosis | 0.97–0.23 | 54% · 37% · 9% | Won against the xG: Enosis |
| Pafos 2–1 Omonia 29is Maiou | 2.28–0.30 | 83% · 14% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Pafos |
| Anorthosis 2–2 Apoel Nicosia | 1.07–2.00 | 20% · 21% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Apoel Nicosia had 59% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.