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8 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 25.1 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| České Budějovice 1–0 Karviná | 1.00–0.95 | 36% · 31% · 33% | Win in line with xG for České Budějovice |
| Bohemians 1905 0–0 Zlin | 0.94–0.96 | 34% · 32% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sigma Olomouc 4–0 Mlada Boleslav | 1.61–0.41 | 67% · 24% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Sigma Olomouc |
| Slovácko 2–0 Teplice | 2.50–0.39 | 83% · 12% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Slovácko |
| Baník Ostrava 1–1 Pardubice | 2.64–1.19 | 68% · 17% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Baník Ostrava had 68% |
| Hradec Králové 1–3 Sparta Praha | 1.49–1.50 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Praha |
| Plzen 3–2 FK Jablonec | 3.20–2.15 | 59% · 16% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Plzen |
| Slovan Liberec 2–3 Slavia Praha | 2.04–2.14 | 38% · 20% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.