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4 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 9.0 xG (1.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| České Budějovice 1–2 Mlada Boleslav | 0.57–1.35 | 16% · 28% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Mlada Boleslav |
| Slovan Liberec 3–3 Teplice | 1.43–0.91 | 49% · 27% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Slovácko 2–0 Karviná | 1.76–0.67 | 64% · 23% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Slovácko |
| Bohemians 1905 3–2 Sigma Olomouc | 1.79–0.52 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Bohemians 1905 |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.