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6 of 8 matches with xG: 14 goals from 17.9 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc 1–1 Slovácko | 0.76–1.75 | 16% · 23% · 61% | Draw against the xG: Slovácko had 61% |
| FK Jablonec 3–2 Teplice | 1.67–1.67 | 39% · 23% · 39% | Close call, FK Jablonec won |
| České Budějovice 0–2 Hradec Králové | 0.43–2.46 | 5% · 13% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Hradec Králové |
| Mlada Boleslav 2–2 Karviná | 3.06–1.38 | 71% · 15% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Mlada Boleslav had 71% |
| Bohemians 1905 0–0 Slovan Liberec | 0.85–1.22 | 26% · 30% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Baník Ostrava 0–1 Plzen | 1.28–1.41 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Plzen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.