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3 of 8 matches with xG: 12 goals from 10.8 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava 2–3 Slavia Praha | 1.62–1.85 | 34% · 22% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
| Sigma Olomouc 1–3 Plzen | 1.16–3.10 | 11% · 13% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Plzen |
| Sparta Praha 2–1 Teplice | 2.15–0.94 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Praha |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.