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5 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 14.2 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha 2–3 Sigma Olomouc | 0.94–1.10 | 31% · 30% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Sigma Olomouc |
| Dukla Praha 1–4 Slovan Liberec | 0.83–3.21 | 6% · 11% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Slovan Liberec |
| Pardubice 0–1 Teplice | 0.27–1.63 | 6% · 22% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Teplice |
| Slovácko 2–1 Karviná | 0.53–0.92 | 20% · 36% · 43% | Won against the xG: Slovácko |
| FK Jablonec 2–0 Hradec Králové | 3.00–1.72 | 64% · 16% · 20% | Win in line with xG for FK Jablonec |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.