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8 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 20.6 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pardubice 1–5 Plzen | 0.41–1.86 | 7% · 20% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Plzen |
| Bohemians 1905 1–0 Baník Ostrava | 2.19–1.57 | 52% · 20% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Bohemians 1905 |
| Karviná 2–0 Dukla Praha | 2.09–0.63 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Karviná |
| Teplice 1–3 Zlin | 1.27–1.07 | 41% · 28% · 31% | Close call, Zlin won |
| FK Jablonec 1–1 Sparta Praha | 0.54–1.12 | 18% · 32% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Slovácko 0–1 Sigma Olomouc | 2.08–0.87 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Won against the xG: Sigma Olomouc |
| Mlada Boleslav 3–3 Slovan Liberec | 1.07–1.78 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Slovan Liberec had 54% |
| Slavia Praha 2–2 Hradec Králové | 1.57–0.43 | 66% · 24% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Slavia Praha had 66% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.