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8 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 21.3 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 2–0 Sparta Praha | 2.21–0.28 | 82% · 14% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Bohemians 1905 |
| Pardubice 3–1 Zlin | 1.47–1.10 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Pardubice |
| FK Jablonec 1–2 Slovan Liberec | 2.42–0.47 | 81% · 14% · 5% | Won against the xG: Slovan Liberec |
| Karviná 0–3 Mlada Boleslav | 0.61–1.09 | 20% · 33% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Mlada Boleslav |
| Baník Ostrava 0–1 Plzen | 1.19–1.03 | 40% · 29% · 32% | Close call, Plzen won |
| Slavia Praha 2–1 Sigma Olomouc | 3.83–0.25 | 96% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
| Slovácko 1–2 Dukla Praha | 1.95–0.30 | 78% · 18% · 5% | Won against the xG: Dukla Praha |
| Teplice 0–1 Hradec Králové | 1.21–1.91 | 24% · 22% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Hradec Králové |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.