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8 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 19.8 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Praha 0–2 Pardubice | 0.69–0.88 | 27% · 35% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Pardubice |
| Slovan Liberec 2–1 Slovácko | 1.95–0.35 | 76% · 18% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Slovan Liberec |
| Sigma Olomouc 2–4 Mlada Boleslav | 1.15–1.93 | 22% · 22% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Mlada Boleslav |
| Zlin 0–3 FK Jablonec | 0.33–2.00 | 5% · 17% · 78% | Win in line with xG for FK Jablonec |
| Plzen 2–2 Teplice | 3.07–0.51 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Plzen had 87% |
| Hradec Králové 2–0 Bohemians 1905 | 1.20–0.89 | 43% · 30% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Hradec Králové |
| Baník Ostrava 0–2 Slavia Praha | 1.34–1.73 | 30% · 24% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
| Sparta Praha 2–0 Karviná | 1.23–0.58 | 52% · 30% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Praha |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.