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7 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 12.8 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec 2–0 Hradec Králové | 1.24–0.96 | 43% · 29% · 29% | Win in line with xG for FK Jablonec |
| Karviná 0–1 Zlin | 0.72–0.79 | 30% · 37% · 34% | Close call, Zlin won |
| Teplice 3–0 Bohemians 1905 | 0.83–1.02 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Close call, Teplice won |
| Sigma Olomouc 2–1 Slovan Liberec | 1.47–0.74 | 55% · 27% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Sigma Olomouc |
| Slovácko 0–1 Slavia Praha | 0.92–1.48 | 23% · 26% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
| Dukla Praha 1–1 Baník Ostrava | 0.68–0.39 | 38% · 44% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Pardubice 1–3 Sparta Praha | 0.09–1.51 | 2% · 23% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Praha |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.