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Most points above xPts: Pardubice (+10.3 pts), Slavia Praha (+8.7 pts), Sparta Praha (+8.4 pts).
Most points below xPts: Baník Ostrava (−14.2 pts), Dukla Praha (−9.6 pts), Bohemians 1905 (−7.6 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 24 | 52.1 | 22.5 | 49.3 | 58 | +8.7 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha | 2 | 25 | 41.7 | 22.9 | 45.6 | 54 | +8.4 |
| 3 | Plzen | 3 | 25 | 45.0 | 28.4 | 43.3 | 44 | +0.7 |
| 4 | Bohemians 1905 | 13 | 24 | 34.5 | 32.5 | 35.6 | 28 | −7.6 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 24 | 33.3 | 30.0 | 34.9 | 39 | +4.1 |
| 6 | Karviná | 12 | 24 | 39.0 | 36.6 | 34.5 | 29 | −5.5 |
| 7 | Slovan Liberec | 7 | 26 | 28.9 | 33.3 | 34.1 | 34 | −0.1 |
| 8 | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 25 | 31.2 | 31.5 | 34.0 | 33 | −1.0 |
| 9 | FK Jablonec | 9 | 25 | 32.7 | 34.6 | 33.6 | 34 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Hradec Králové | 4 | 26 | 33.4 | 38.7 | 32.8 | 39 | +6.2 |
| 11 | Baník Ostrava | 15 | 24 | 32.3 | 35.3 | 32.2 | 18 | −14.2 |
| 12 | Zlin | 11 | 26 | 29.2 | 39.8 | 29.7 | 29 | −0.7 |
| 13 | Slovácko | 14 | 25 | 29.0 | 41.3 | 28.1 | 24 | −4.1 |
| 14 | Teplice | 8 | 24 | 26.1 | 35.5 | 27.6 | 34 | +6.4 |
| 15 | Pardubice | 6 | 23 | 26.7 | 36.6 | 25.7 | 36 | +10.3 |
| 16 | Dukla Praha | 16 | 26 | 23.8 | 39.7 | 25.6 | 16 | −9.6 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.