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7 of 8 matches with xG: 12 goals from 19.2 xG (0.63 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leones del Norte 1–0 Universidad Catolica | 0.60–1.85 | 11% · 21% · 67% | Won against the xG: Leones del Norte |
| Tecnico Universitario 0–2 Macara | 0.60–1.73 | 12% · 23% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Macara |
| Manta FC 0–0 Orense SC | 1.46–1.28 | 41% · 25% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mushuc Runa SC 1–4 Independiente del Valle | 1.43–3.01 | 15% · 15% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Independiente del Valle |
| Guayaquil City FC 2–1 Delfin SC | 1.36–1.68 | 31% · 24% · 45% | Close call, Guayaquil City FC won |
| LDU de Quito 0–0 Libertad | 2.00–0.31 | 78% · 17% · 5% | Draw against the xG: LDU de Quito had 78% |
| Deportivo Cuenca 0–1 Aucas | 0.62–1.23 | 19% · 30% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Aucas |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.