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6 of 8 matches with xG: 10 goals from 12.2 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macara 2–1 Mushuc Runa SC | 1.23–1.36 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Close call, Macara won |
| Manta FC 0–1 Delfin SC | 0.71–1.28 | 21% · 29% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Delfin SC |
| Libertad 1–0 Tecnico Universitario | 1.33–0.52 | 57% · 29% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Libertad |
| Leones del Norte 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca | 0.87–0.70 | 37% · 36% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Universidad Catolica 1–0 LDU de Quito | 1.09–0.94 | 39% · 30% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Universidad Catolica |
| Orense SC 0–2 Emelec | 0.35–1.79 | 7% · 20% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Emelec |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.