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5 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 13.8 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario 1–0 Manta FC | 1.36–0.37 | 62% · 28% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Tecnico Universitario |
| Aucas 1–4 Macara | 0.90–2.26 | 14% · 18% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Macara |
| Delfin SC 0–1 Leones del Norte | 2.25–0.76 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Won against the xG: Leones del Norte |
| Orense SC 2–3 Independiente del Valle | 2.16–1.89 | 45% · 20% · 35% | Close call, Independiente del Valle won |
| Deportivo Cuenca 2–1 Emelec | 1.14–0.71 | 46% · 31% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Cuenca |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.