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7 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 18.8 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle 3–2 Delfin SC | 1.84–1.03 | 56% · 23% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Independiente del Valle |
| Manta FC 0–2 Leones del Norte | 1.68–1.25 | 47% · 24% · 29% | Won against the xG: Leones del Norte |
| Guayaquil City FC 2–2 Libertad | 1.68–1.05 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Guayaquil City FC had 52% |
| Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 Barcelona SC | 0.91–0.44 | 45% · 37% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Orense SC 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca | 2.09–1.28 | 56% · 21% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Orense SC |
| Emelec 2–1 Tecnico Universitario | 3.13–1.22 | 75% · 13% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Emelec |
| Aucas 0–1 LDU de Quito | 0.92–0.29 | 50% · 38% · 11% | Won against the xG: LDU de Quito |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.