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4 of 8 matches with xG: 7 goals from 8.9 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle 2–2 Aucas | 1.02–1.18 | 31% · 29% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 Macara | 0.49–1.26 | 14% · 30% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Macara had 56% |
| Emelec 2–1 Orense SC | 0.50–0.35 | 30% · 51% · 19% | Close call, Emelec won |
| Guayaquil City FC 0–0 Barcelona SC | 2.57–1.50 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Guayaquil City FC had 61% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.