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4 of 8 matches with xG: 11 goals from 8.4 xG (1.30 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Macara | 0.98–0.99 | 34% · 31% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| LDU de Quito 1–0 Manta FC | 0.73–0.27 | 43% · 44% · 13% | Close call, LDU de Quito won |
| Tecnico Universitario 1–2 Independiente del Valle | 0.55–2.03 | 9% · 19% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Independiente del Valle |
| Aucas 3–2 Orense SC | 1.31–1.57 | 32% · 25% · 43% | Close call, Aucas won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.