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8 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 17.1 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| LDU de Quito 0–2 Barcelona SC | 0.97–1.52 | 24% · 26% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona SC |
| Independiente del Valle 2–0 Orense SC | 1.04–0.09 | 61% · 35% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Independiente del Valle |
| Universidad Catolica 4–1 Guayaquil City FC | 2.06–0.29 | 80% · 16% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Universidad Catolica |
| Emelec 0–2 Deportivo Cuenca | 1.33–2.31 | 21% · 19% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Cuenca |
| Leones del Norte 1–0 Delfin SC | 0.22–0.43 | 13% · 57% · 29% | Won against the xG: Leones del Norte |
| Manta FC 0–2 Tecnico Universitario | 0.78–0.89 | 30% · 34% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Tecnico Universitario |
| Macara 0–1 Aucas | 0.83–1.46 | 21% · 27% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Aucas |
| Libertad 2–2 Mushuc Runa SC | 1.34–1.55 | 33% · 25% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.