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3 of 10 matches with xG: 5 goals from 5.4 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahly 2–0 Ismaily SC | 0.66–0.23 | 41% · 48% · 11% | Close call, Al Ahly won |
| Zamalek SC 1–0 Smouha SC | 0.81–0.27 | 47% · 42% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Zamalek SC |
| AL Masry 1–1 Wadi Degla | 1.29–2.15 | 22% · 21% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Wadi Degla had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.